Iran is
Surrounded by US Troops in 10 Countries
Iran literally is
surrounded by American troops, notes an oil
market analyst, Energy and Capital editor Christian A.
DeHaemer. There is no evidence of an imminent
attack, but he connects a number of recent
events and the presence of American soldiers to
warn that oil prices might soar, with or without
a pre-emptive strike aimed at stopping Iran’s
nuclear power ambitions. Iran is bordered on the
east by Pakistan and Afghanistan, where US
troops have been waging a costly war, in terms
of money and lives, against Taliban, Al-Qaeda
and other terrorists. The Persian Gulf is on
Iran’s southern border, and last week’s report,
confirmed by the Pentagon, that 11 warships had
sailed through the Suez Canal, raised alarm
bells that the US is ready to fight to keep the
Persian Gulf open. Iran has threatened it could
close the waterway, where 40 percent of the
world’s oil flows in tankers, if the United
Nations or the United States by itself carry out
harsh energy sanctions against the Islamic
Republic. An Israeli ship has also reportedly
joined the US armada. Kuwait, which is heavily
armed by the US and is home to American bases,
is located on the southwestern border of Iran.
The country’s western neighbors are Turkey and
Iraq, also home to American bases, and
Turkmenistan, the Caspian Sea and Azerbaijan are
the Islamic Republic’s northern neighbors. The
US army last year advanced military cooperation
with Turkmenistan. An independent Caspian news
agency has confirmed unusually heavy activity of
American troops along the border with Iran. The
Iranian Revolutionary Guards' Brigadier General
Mehdi Moini said last week that his forces
increased patrols, including tanks and
anti-aircraft units, along the border with
Azerbaijan because they noticed increased
American activity. Iran charged that Israeli
forces were also present, sparking a virtual war
alert among the Iranian Guards. In addition, the
Times of London reported earlier this
month that Saudi Arabia has agreed to open its
air space for Israel Air Force jets, a claim
that the Saudi monarchy denied. It similar
denied Iranian news agency claims that Israeli
helicopters unloaded military equipment at a
northwestern Saudi Arabian air base, from where
Israeli planes theoretically could reach Iran in
the shorts possible time. There has been no
confirmation of Israel-Saudi cooperation from
any other source, but one IDF reserve officer,
who has been involved in secret military
projects for private companies, told Israel
National News that the it could be true if
both countries found it in their common
interests. Saudi Arabia does not recognize
Israel and has treated the Jewish State with
disdain. However, the possibility of Iran's
dominating the Arab world with nuclear power has
changed all political scenarios. Several defense
websites have reported that Israel is deploying
one to three German-made nuclear submarines in
the Persian Gulf as a defensive measure against
the possibility of a missile attacks from
Lebanon and Syria, as well as Iran. “The
submarines of Flotilla 7, Dolphin, Tekuma and
Leviathan, have visited the Gulf before,”
DeHaemer wrote, “but the decision has now been
taken to ensure a permanent presence of at least
one of the vessels.” Amid the buzz of increased
military activity around Iran looms the specter
of higher oil prices, which is DeHaemer's field
of expertise. “The last oil price shock in the
Middle East was in 1990 when the United States
invaded Iraq for invading Kuwait. The price per
barrel of oil went from $21 to $28 on August
6...to $46 by mid-October. The looming Iran War
is not priced in,” he warned in his news letter.
Iran has the third-highest oil reserves in the
world and is second only to Saudi Arabia in
production. If any action prevents the flow of
Iranian oil, the price of “black gold” would
soar, he added. |
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